By J Robert Smith
- May 21, 2025
- 4-min read
Nick R. Hamilton at Slay reports that Trump’s poll numbers are starting to trend up. He draws from Nate Silver’s polling data. Silver has seen Trump’s approval rise four points in the last month, give or take. But here’s the revelation: Expect Trump’s numbers to continue to rise, albeit modestly for a while.
Why? The economy is doing better. Employment is up. Prices are down, particularly at gas pumps and in grocery stores. This is happening as energy production is just ramping up and as Trump’s Big, Beautiful Bill wends its way through Congress. Passage is anticipated by Independence Day, July 4. The C.R. contains a broad range of tax cuts that were scheduled to lapse but will be made permanent and newer tax cuts – elimination of tip taxes and taxes on Social Security payments. The measure includes other economic incentives, too.
Trump’s numbers are rising as the public learns more about the impact of his tariffs. Nations are negotiating to settle difference. Britain has just made a deal. Various enterprises in Asia and elsewhere pledge to site manufacturing facilities in the U.S. or increase investments here. Trump just announced $600 billion in investments from Saudi Arabia in U.S. concerns.
Trump also continues to work diligently to broker a peace deal between Ukraine and the Russian Federation. He’s seeking a negotiated end to Iran’s nuclear weapons program development. Unlike neocons, Americans want peaceful settlements of differences, not war.
Finally, in less than four months, Trump has effectively closed the U.S.-Mexican border, proving that Biden’s handlers lied all along about grappling with ways to end the tide of illegals into the country. In fact, everything that Biden’s White House did was to encourage millions of migrants to enter the country. It was a cynical ploy to build Democrat consistencies and voter bases.
Not that there aren’t challenges ahead for the president. The U.S. Supreme Court needs to shutdown lower federal courts from interfering with the chief executive’s right to deport illegals, particularly those deemed dangerous.
But, all in all, mid and longer term, the positives outweigh the negatives for Trump’s presidency. With critical midterm elections slated for November 2026, Democrats can’t be very happy about that development.