Tag Archives: White House

Will House RINOs Bail on the One, Big, Beautiful Bill?

By J Robert Smith

  • July 2, 2925
  • 2-min read

Reports Breitbart, July 1:

“Representative Maxwell Frost (D-FL) said Tuesday on MSNBC’s “The Briefing” that President Donald Trump’s “big, beautiful” domestic policy package passed by the Senate has at least 20 Republican Representatives who are currently no votes.”

Never put treachery or cowardice past RINOs. But bailing on Trump’s signature legislation would cost so-called moderate Republicans dearly. The president has a lot of tools in his toolbox to deal with recalcitrant House Republicans. There are dozens of favors that the White House could withhold from representatives who are up for election next year. Speaker Mike Johnson, likewise, could withhold monies and favors, including reelection support.

The leverage that the RINOs enjoy, however, is that the GOP has a razor-thin majority in the House. The Republican majority couldn’t function without the support of moderates. It’s something of a standoff, but an angry Donald Trump might not care. If moderates fail to support the continuing resolution, Trump is capable of going scorched earth.

What will happen is that Speaker Johnson and his team will make some accommodations to his members who have issues with the Senate version of the CR. The amended version will go to a conference committee (that’s a House-Senate confab) that will negotiate further compromises. The conference bill will then be voted on by the House and Senate.

Frost admitted that Republicans – moderates and fiscal conservatives like Chip Roy – are more than likely to cave. Said Frost:

“Now we’ve got to be honest all the time, the moderates on the Republican side always fold. They put up a little fight. So that way, they have some footage that they can put behind their ads during election time, and then they fold right away. The far right kind of Freedom Caucus folks, most of the time, they fold. Sometimes they stick to it. So we’ll see. Right now, we’re having conversations with a lot of them behind the scenes. But you, one of the most important conversations, the most impactful ones, are actually constituents and the people reaching out. That’s why the big strategy right now is delay, delay, delay. Every minute we keep this bill from passing, it becomes even more unpopular.”

There you have it. Delay is the Democrats’ big weapon. Mike Johnson and John Thune need to move heaven and earth to get balky Republicans onboard and pass the One, Big, Beautiful Bill no later than next week, latest. Twist arms, trade favors – whatever. Get it done.

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Trump’s Mini Slump is ending

By J Robert Smith

  • May 21, 2025
  • 4-min read

Nick R. Hamilton at Slay reports that Trump’s poll numbers are starting to trend up. He draws from Nate Silver’s polling data. Silver has seen Trump’s approval rise four points in the last month, give or take. But here’s the revelation: Expect Trump’s numbers to continue to rise, albeit modestly for a while.

Why? The economy is doing better. Employment is up. Prices are down, particularly at gas pumps and in grocery stores. This is happening as energy production is just ramping up and as Trump’s Big, Beautiful Bill wends its way through Congress. Passage is anticipated by Independence Day, July 4. The C.R. contains a broad range of tax cuts that were scheduled to lapse but will be made permanent and newer tax cuts – elimination of tip taxes and taxes on Social Security payments. The measure includes other economic incentives, too.

Trump’s numbers are rising as the public learns more about the impact of his tariffs. Nations are negotiating to settle difference. Britain has just made a deal. Various enterprises in Asia and elsewhere pledge to site manufacturing facilities in the U.S. or increase investments here. Trump just announced $600 billion in investments from Saudi Arabia in U.S. concerns.

Trump also continues to work diligently to broker a peace deal between Ukraine and the Russian Federation. He’s seeking a negotiated end to Iran’s nuclear weapons program development. Unlike neocons, Americans want peaceful settlements of differences, not war.

Finally, in less than four months, Trump has effectively closed the U.S.-Mexican border, proving that Biden’s handlers lied all along about grappling with ways to end the tide of illegals into the country. In fact, everything that Biden’s White House did was to encourage millions of migrants to enter the country. It was a cynical ploy to build Democrat consistencies and voter bases.

Not that there aren’t challenges ahead for the president. The U.S. Supreme Court needs to shutdown lower federal courts from interfering with the chief executive’s right to deport illegals, particularly those deemed dangerous.

But, all in all, mid and longer term, the positives outweigh the negatives for Trump’s presidency. With critical midterm elections slated for November 2026, Democrats can’t be very happy about that development.

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